Everything Is Predictable How Bayes’ Remarkable Theorem Explains the World

Everything Is Predictable: How Bayes’ Remarkable Theorem Explains the World by Tom Chivers, published by Orion Publishing Group, Limited on April 24, 2025, is a comprehensive exploration of Thomas Bayes’ influential theorem. This 336-page book delves into the life of Bayes, an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician, while highlighting the significant impact of his work on various fields, including science and technology.
Readers will find a blend of biography, science communication, and intellectual history as Chivers examines the relevance of Bayes’ theorem in contemporary contexts, such as medical testing and artificial intelligence. The book presents a thorough understanding of how this mathematical concept shapes our perception of the world, illustrating its far-reaching consequences in everyday life. Everything Is Predictable offers insights into probability and statistics, making it a valuable resource for those interested in the intersection of mathematics and real-world applications.
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SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024
‘Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting . . . I finished it not only better informed about a captivating branch of mathematics, but with an invigorating sense of greater purchase on the world’ OLIVER BURKEMAN
Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes’ theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.
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