Taking Risks: The Science of Uncertainty

Taking Risks: The Science of Uncertainty by Peter Sprent, published by Penguin Books in June 1989, explores the multifaceted nature of risk and uncertainty. This first edition, comprising 272 pages, delves into the technical aspects of uncertainty, examining how we perceive risk and the various factors that influence our understanding of probability and odds.
Readers will find a comprehensive analysis of uncertainty through a structured approach, beginning with the technical background and progressing to real-world applications. The book covers a range of topics, including the implications of polio testing, environmental hazards, and the intersection of statistics and law. By addressing both theoretical and practical dimensions of risk, this work provides insights into how we navigate an uncertain world.
Official synopsis Publisher
Part I: Uncertainty: The technical background. Doubt and reality. Our perception of risk. Aberrations and distortions. Probability and odds. Applied probability. Probability in action. Part II: Touring an uncertain world. Polio: a 5 million test. Poison in the air. High-level disturbances. Oiling the wheels of industry. Hazards: moving and stationary. Diseases, diagnoses and doubts. Statistics and the law. Pattern recognition.
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